Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.033404 0.038885 0.044917 0.052037 0.060202 0.069264 0.080073
2025-09-14 0.025178 0.032314 0.040890 0.051917 0.065680 0.082249 0.103661
2025-09-21 0.019144 0.026784 0.036702 0.050439 0.068878 0.092664 0.125547
2025-09-28 0.015242 0.023028 0.033855 0.049861 0.072748 0.104082 0.149970
2025-10-05 0.013346 0.021572 0.033715 0.052711 0.081388 0.122692 0.186203
2025-10-12 0.011636 0.020012 0.033070 0.054575 0.088665 0.140045 0.222551
2025-10-19 0.009603 0.017533 0.030561 0.053091 0.090500 0.149339 0.247732
2025-10-26 0.008173 0.015774 0.028882 0.052591 0.093655 0.160793 0.277251
2025-11-02 0.006847 0.013943 0.026766 0.050978 0.094635 0.168673 0.301607
2025-11-09 0.005816 0.012466 0.025025 0.049721 0.095959 0.177101 0.327529
2025-11-16 0.005109 0.011487 0.024038 0.049663 0.099334 0.189274 0.360958
2025-11-23 0.004380 0.010328 0.022522 0.048357 0.100173 0.196915 0.386922
2025-11-30 0.004070 0.010027 0.022704 0.050484 0.107952 0.218254 0.440518
2025-12-07 0.003608 0.009303 0.021901 0.050489 0.111537 0.232074 0.481392
2025-12-14 0.003104 0.008385 0.020539 0.049109 0.112109 0.240084 0.511811
2025-12-21 0.002733 0.007717 0.019626 0.048575 0.114367 0.251628 0.550290
2025-12-28 0.002616 0.007675 0.020156 0.051372 0.124155 0.279461 0.624425
2026-01-04 0.002450 0.007471 0.020268 0.053200 0.131980 0.303908 0.693714
2026-01-11 0.002132 0.006787 0.019086 0.051755 0.132147 0.311979 0.728973
2026-01-18 0.001901 0.006303 0.018337 0.051268 0.134482 0.324970 0.776017
2026-01-25 0.001653 0.005717 0.017225 0.049695 0.133998 0.331573 0.809469
2026-02-01 0.001450 0.005229 0.016297 0.048468 0.134205 0.339738 0.847128
2026-02-08 0.001314 0.004922 0.015829 0.048411 0.137354 0.355030 0.902505